
🌍 If you’re reading this, you already know that carbon dioxide removal (hashtag#CDR) is essential to achieving global net-zero targets.
😖 But if you scratch just below the surface, you come to learn that there is still a surprising amount of ambiguity around what constitutes the right durability for CDR.
🌐 The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)’s definition simply says “durably”.
🇺🇲 For the U.S. Department of Energy, the threshold sits at 100 years.
🇪🇺 In the EU, CDR qualifies as permanent if its durability lasts “several centuries”.
⛰️ The advanced market mechanism Frontier sets it at 1,000 years.
😱 You might think this is semantics, but it could actually make the difference between hitting net zero or massive failure, even when net zero is “achieved”.
🧑🔬 For my latest blog, I have teamed up with ETH Zurich scientist Cyril Brunner to dive deep into this. Cyril, alongside Zeke Hausfather and Rene Knutti, just published a study in Nature on the impact of varying CDR durability on our ability to hit (and maintain) net zero - see comments.
In this opinion piece, we look at both the science and - crucially - the policy implications of how we define and use durability in achieving net zero. We ask for three specific actions from policy makers:
1️⃣ Clearly and consistently define durability
2️⃣ Differentiate between temporary and durable CDR
3️⃣ Adopt the like-for-like principle across policies
👀 Check out “The hidden risk in net zero targets: why storage durability matters” on Illimunem today: https://lnkd.in/dFRPqZW3
❓ Would love to hear what you think? Do you agree/disagree?
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