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๐Ÿง New blog: What does durability of carbon removal even mean? And why does it matter? ๐Ÿง



๐ŸŒ If youโ€™re reading this, you already know that carbon dioxide removal (hashtag#CDR) is essential to achieving global net-zero targets.


๐Ÿ˜– But if you scratch just below the surface, you come to learn that there is still a surprising amount of ambiguity around what constitutes the right durability for CDR.


๐ŸŒ The Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC)โ€™s definition simply says โ€œdurablyโ€.

๐Ÿ‡บ๐Ÿ‡ฒ For the U.S. Department of Energy, the threshold sits at 100 years.

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡บ In the EU, CDR qualifies as permanent if its durability lasts โ€œseveral centuriesโ€.

โ›ฐ๏ธ The advanced market mechanism Frontier sets it at 1,000 years.


๐Ÿ˜ฑ You might think this is semantics, but it could actually make the difference between hitting net zero or massive failure, even when net zero is โ€œachievedโ€.


๐Ÿง‘โ€๐Ÿ”ฌ For my latest blog, I have teamed up with ETH Zurich scientist Cyril Brunner to dive deep into this. Cyril, alongside Zeke Hausfather and Rene Knutti, just published a study in Nature on the impact of varying CDR durability on our ability to hit (and maintain) net zero - see comments.


In this opinion piece, we look at both the science and - crucially - the policy implications of how we define and use durability in achieving net zero. We ask for three specific actions from policy makers:


1๏ธโƒฃ Clearly and consistently define durability

2๏ธโƒฃ Differentiate between temporary and durable CDR

3๏ธโƒฃ Adopt the like-for-like principle across policies


๐Ÿ‘€ Check out โ€œThe hidden risk in net zero targets: why storage durability mattersโ€ on Illimunem today: https://lnkd.in/dFRPqZW3


โ“ Would love to hear what you think? Do you agree/disagree?




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